Motril x UD Torre del Mar Betting tips for December 21 in Spain Tercera Group 9
| 📅 21/12/2025 11:00 |
 Motril1.68 |
X 3.40 |
UD Torre del Mar  4.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Motril x UD Torre del Mar:
🔮 Motril wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Motril, you can win up to $840.00!
Some important points for the tip for Motril x UD Torre del Mar:
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Torre del Mar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Motril scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 UD Torre del Mar matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Motril has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against UD Torre del Mar playing at home.
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Analysis from Motril x UD Torre del Mar for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 21 of December
🏟️ Motril X UD Torre del Mar – Spain Tercera Group 9
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Motril – Winning probability: 65.33% | Fair line: 1.53
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.69% | Fair line: 4.22
🔴 UD Torre del Mar – Winning probability: 10.98% | Fair line: 9.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Motril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Motril x UD Torre del Mar is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Motril x UD Torre del Mar
Is betting on Motril worth it?
🔵 Motril: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $442.00;
- And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$92.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.
Should you bet on UD Torre del Mar?
🔴 UD Torre del Mar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $385.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$505.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Motril x UD Torre del Mar
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Motril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Motril x UD Torre del Mar
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Motril, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Motril.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Motril x UD Torre del Mar
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
