MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC Betting tips for December 13 in Israel Premier League

Our betting tip for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 13:00

MS Ashdod 2.07

X 3.25

Hapoel Jerusalem FC 3.19

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC

Some important points for the tip for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on MS Ashdod in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Jerusalem FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, MS Ashdod scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hapoel Jerusalem FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Hapoel Jerusalem FC, MS Ashdod scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, MS Ashdod conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hapoel Jerusalem FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, MS Ashdod conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Hapoel Jerusalem FC.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Hapoel Jerusalem FC has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC for the Israel Premier League – 13 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between MS Ashdod and Hapoel Jerusalem FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1451823 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC

Should you bet on MS Ashdod?

🔵 MS Ashdod: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $449.40;
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $697.50;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$7.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Hapoel Jerusalem FC?

🔴 Hapoel Jerusalem FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $591.30;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$138.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 MS Ashdod
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 MS Ashdod, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 MS Ashdod.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Hapoel Jerusalem FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.