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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias Betting tips for November 30 in Israel Premier League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 16h00 Israel Premier League
MS Ashdod MS Ashdod
PREDICTION No tip
Ironi Tiberias Ironi Tiberias
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MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias Betting tips for November 30 in Israel Premier League

Our betting tip for MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
16:00
MS Ashdod MS Ashdod
2.20
X
3.10
Ironi Tiberias Ironi Tiberias
3.01

Our algorithm has selected this tip for MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias

Some important points for the tip for MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on MS Ashdod in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ironi Tiberias in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Ironi Tiberias matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ MS Ashdod received red cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.

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Summary

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Analysis from MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias for the Israel Premier League – 30 of November

🏟️ MS Ashdod X Ironi Tiberias – Israel Premier League
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ MS Ashdod – Winning probability: 42.03% | Fair line: 2.38
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.45% | Fair line: 2.9
πŸ”΄ Ironi Tiberias – Winning probability: 23.51% | Fair line: 4.25
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 MS Ashdod
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between MS Ashdod and Ironi Tiberias.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias

Is it a good idea to bet on MS Ashdod?

πŸ”΅ MS Ashdod: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $714.00
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$54.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Ironi Tiberias worth it?

πŸ”΄ Ironi Tiberias: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $482.40;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$277.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 MS Ashdod
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 MS Ashdod and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 MS Ashdod. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for MS Ashdod x Ironi Tiberias

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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