Muang Thong United x BG Pathum United Betting tips for October 19 in Thailand Premier League
๐
19/10/2024 13:00 |
Muang Thong United 2.26 |
X 3.55 |
BG Pathum United 2.69 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Muang Thong United x BG Pathum United:
๐ฎ Muang Thong United wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Muang Thong United, you can win up to $1130.00!
The main points for the tip for Muang Thong United x BG Pathum United: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Muang Thong United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0. |
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Analysis from Muang Thong United x BG Pathum United for the Thailand Premier League – 19 of October
๐๏ธ Muang Thong United X BG Pathum United – Thailand Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Muang Thong United x BG Pathum United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1202638 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Muang Thong United x BG Pathum United
Should you bet on Muang Thong United?
๐ต Muang Thong United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $604.80
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$84.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $739.50;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just ๐ฐ$29.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on BG Pathum United?
๐ด BG Pathum United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $388.70;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$381.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Muang Thong United x BG Pathum United
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Muang Thong United
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Muang Thong United x BG Pathum United
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Muang Thong United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Muang Thong United. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Muang Thong United x BG Pathum United
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.