Muglaspor x Kastamonuspor Betting tips for December 28 in Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
| 📅 28/12/2025 12:00 |
 Muglaspor1.45 |
X 3.80 |
Kastamonuspor  6.36 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Muglaspor x Kastamonuspor:
🔮 Muglaspor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Muglaspor, you can win up to $725.00!
Important information for your tip for Muglaspor x Kastamonuspor:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Muglaspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kastamonuspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $752.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Kastamonuspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Muglaspor x Kastamonuspor for the Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz – 28 of December
🏟️ Muglaspor X Kastamonuspor – Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
📅 28 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Muglaspor – Winning probability: 82.07% | Fair line: 1.22
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.14% | Fair line: 7.07
🔴 Kastamonuspor – Winning probability: 3.79% | Fair line: 26.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Muglaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Muglaspor x Kastamonuspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1456114 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Muglaspor x Kastamonuspor
Is it a good idea to bet on Muglaspor?
🔵 Muglaspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $369.00;
- And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$189.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $392.00;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$468.00.
Should you bet on Kastamonuspor?
🔴 Kastamonuspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $214.40;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$745.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Muglaspor x Kastamonuspor
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Muglaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Muglaspor x Kastamonuspor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Muglaspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Muglaspor.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Kastamonuspor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Muglaspor x Kastamonuspor
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
