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Home » Predictions » Muhazi United x Bugesera Betting tips for November 30 in Rwanda National League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 13h00 Rwanda National League
Muhazi United Muhazi United
PREDICTION No tip
Bugesera Bugesera
Don't miss this prediction!

Muhazi United x Bugesera Betting tips for November 30 in Rwanda National League

Our betting tip for Muhazi United x Bugesera, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
13:00
Muhazi United Muhazi United
2.25
X
2.88
Bugesera Bugesera
3.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Muhazi United x Bugesera:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Muhazi United x Bugesera

Important information for your tip for Muhazi United x Bugesera:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Muhazi United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bugesera conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Muhazi United x Bugesera for the Rwanda National League – 30 of November

🏟️ Muhazi United X Bugesera – Rwanda National League
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Muhazi United – Winning probability: 40.89% | Fair line: 2.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.35% | Fair line: 2.91
🔴 Bugesera – Winning probability: 24.77% | Fair line: 4.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Muhazi United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Muhazi United x Bugesera is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Muhazi United x Bugesera

Is it a good idea to bet on Muhazi United?

🔵 Muhazi United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $512.50;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$77.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $639.20;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$20.80.

Is it worth betting on Bugesera?

🔴 Bugesera: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$225.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Muhazi United x Bugesera

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Muhazi United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Muhazi United x Bugesera

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Muhazi United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Muhazi United.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Muhazi United x Bugesera

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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