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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru Betting tips for October 2 in India Super League
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 11h00 India Super League
Mumbai City FC Mumbai City FC
PREDICTION No tip
Bengaluru Bengaluru
Don't miss this prediction!

Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru Betting tips for October 2 in India Super League

Our betting tip for Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
πŸ“… 2/10/2024
11:00
Mumbai City FC Mumbai City FC
1.71
X
3.65
Bengaluru Bengaluru
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru

Some important points for the tip for Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mumbai City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $231.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Mumbai City FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Bengaluru scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Bengaluru matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bengaluru conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Mumbai City FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru for the India Super League – 2 of October

🏟️ Mumbai City FC X Bengaluru – India Super League
πŸ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ Mumbai City FC – Winning probability: 56.98% | Fair line: 1.75
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.12% | Fair line: 3.83
πŸ”΄ Bengaluru – Winning probability: 16.90% | Fair line: 5.92
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mumbai City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru

Is it a good idea to bet on Mumbai City FC?

πŸ”΅ Mumbai City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.71. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $404.70;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$25.30 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $689.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$51.00.

Is betting on Bengaluru worth it?

πŸ”΄ Bengaluru: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $544.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$286.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mumbai City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Mumbai City FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Mumbai City FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Bengaluru.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mumbai City FC x Bengaluru

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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