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Home » Predictions » Others » Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC Betting tips for November 26 in India Super League
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 14h00 India Super League
Mumbai City FC Mumbai City FC
PREDICTION Mumbai City FC wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Punjab FC Punjab FC
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC Betting tips for November 26 in India Super League

Our betting tip for Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
14:00
Mumbai City FC Mumbai City FC
1.70
X
3.70
Punjab FC Punjab FC
4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC:

🔮 Mumbai City FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mumbai City FC, you can win up to $850.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mumbai City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $83.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Punjab FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Punjab FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC for the India Super League – 26 of November

🏟️ Mumbai City FC X Punjab FC – India Super League
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Mumbai City FC – Winning probability: 74.27% | Fair line: 1.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.44% | Fair line: 5.73
🔴 Punjab FC – Winning probability: 8.29% | Fair line: 12.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Mumbai City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1227868 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC

Is betting on Mumbai City FC worth it?

🔵 Mumbai City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $518.00
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$258.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $459.00
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$371.00.

Is betting on Punjab FC worth it?

🔴 Punjab FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $256.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$664.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Mumbai City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Mumbai City FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Mumbai City FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Mumbai City FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mumbai City FC x Punjab FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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