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Home » Predictions » Others » Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos Betting tips for November 14 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Thursday, 14 November 2024, 02h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia
PREDICTION Municipal Liberia wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos Betting tips for November 14 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos, Thursday, 14/11/2024
📅 14/11/2024
02:00
Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia
2.20
X
3.50
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
2.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos:

🔮 Municipal Liberia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Municipal Liberia, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Municipal Liberia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-155.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AD San Carlos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Municipal Liberia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, AD San Carlos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 AD San Carlos matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Municipal Liberia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, AD San Carlos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Municipal Liberia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against AD San Carlos.

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Summary

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Analysis from Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 14 of November

🏟️ Municipal Liberia X AD San Carlos – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 14 of November, 2024 – 02:00
🔵 Municipal Liberia – Winning probability: 53.54% | Fair line: 1.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.34% | Fair line: 5.17
🔴 AD San Carlos – Winning probability: 27.13% | Fair line: 3.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Municipal Liberia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221159 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos

Is betting on Municipal Liberia worth it?

🔵 Municipal Liberia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $648.00;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$188.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on AD San Carlos?

🔴 AD San Carlos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $459.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$271.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Municipal Liberia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Municipal Liberia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Municipal Liberia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 AD San Carlos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Municipal Liberia x AD San Carlos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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