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Home » Predictions » Others » Municipal Liberia x Cartagines Betting tips for April 22 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Monday, 22 April 2024, 00h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Cartagines Cartagines
ODD: @3.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Municipal Liberia x Cartagines Betting tips for April 22 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Municipal Liberia x Cartagines, Monday, 22/4/2024
📅 22/4/2024
00:00
Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia
2.16
X
3.40
Cartagines Cartagines
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Municipal Liberia x Cartagines:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Municipal Liberia x Cartagines:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Municipal Liberia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cartagines in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 Cartagines matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Cartagines conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Municipal Liberia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Cartagines.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Municipal Liberia x Cartagines?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Municipal Liberia x Cartagines, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Municipal Liberia x Cartagines for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 22 of April

🏟️ Municipal Liberia X Cartagines – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 22 of April, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Municipal Liberia – Winning probability: 38.92% | Fair line: 2.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.36% | Fair line: 3.0
🔴 Cartagines – Winning probability: 27.71% | Fair line: 3.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Municipal Liberia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Municipal Liberia x Cartagines right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1101562 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Municipal Liberia x Cartagines

Should you bet on Municipal Liberia?

🔵 Municipal Liberia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $452.40
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$157.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $792.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.00.

Should you bet on Cartagines?

🔴 Cartagines: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Municipal Liberia x Cartagines

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Municipal Liberia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Municipal Liberia x Cartagines

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Municipal Liberia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Municipal Liberia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Municipal Liberia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Municipal Liberia x Cartagines

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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