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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa Betting tips for February 2 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 02h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia
PREDICTION No tip
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa
Don't miss this prediction!

Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa Betting tips for February 2 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
02:00
Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia
3.00
X
3.20
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa
2.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa

Some important points for the tip for Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Municipal Liberia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Saprissa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Municipal Liberia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Deportivo Saprissa.
πŸ‘‰ Even as a visitor, Deportivo Saprissa won the last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal LiberiaΒ΄s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 2 of February

🏟️ Municipal Liberia X Deportivo Saprissa – Costa Rica Primera Division
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 02:00
πŸ”΅ Municipal Liberia – Winning probability: 28.03% | Fair line: 3.57
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.89% | Fair line: 3.24
πŸ”΄ Deportivo Saprissa – Winning probability: 41.09% | Fair line: 2.43
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: 0.0 Municipal Liberia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255014 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1Γ—2 market for Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa

Should you bet on Municipal Liberia?

πŸ”΅ Municipal Liberia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $682.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Saprissa?

πŸ”΄ Deportivo Saprissa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $492.00
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$98.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: 0.0 Municipal Liberia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Municipal Liberia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Municipal Liberia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: +0.25 Municipal Liberia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Municipal Liberia x Deportivo Saprissa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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