Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa Betting tips for November 8 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa, Friday, 8/11/2024

📅 8/11/2024 02:00

Municipal Perez Zeledon 3.63

X 3.37

Deportivo Saprissa 1.89

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa

Some important points for the tip for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Municipal Perez Zeledon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Saprissa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Municipal Perez Zeledon scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Deportivo Saprissa, Municipal Perez Zeledon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Municipal Perez Zeledon matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Municipal Perez Zeledon conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportivo Saprissa conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 8 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1217445 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa

Is betting on Municipal Perez Zeledon worth it?

🔵 Municipal Perez Zeledon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $499.70;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$310.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $639.90;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.10.

Should you bet on Deportivo Saprissa?

🔴 Deportivo Saprissa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 540 times – profiting $480.60;
• And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$20.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Municipal Perez Zeledon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Municipal Perez Zeledon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Municipal Perez Zeledon.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Municipal Perez Zeledon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Municipal Perez Zeledon x Deportivo Saprissa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.