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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri Betting tips for January 19 in Costa Rica Segunda
Sunday, 19 January 2025, 20h00 Costa Rica Segunda
Municipal Turrialba Municipal Turrialba
PREDICTION No tip
FC Aserri FC Aserri
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Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri Betting tips for January 19 in Costa Rica Segunda

Our betting tip for Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri, Sunday, 19/1/2025
πŸ“… 19/1/2025
20:00
Municipal Turrialba Municipal Turrialba
2.38
X
3.12
FC Aserri FC Aserri
2.72

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri

The main points for the tip for Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Municipal Turrialba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $710.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Aserri in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Municipal Turrialba scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against FC Aserri, Municipal Turrialba scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 FC Aserri matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Municipal Turrialba has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against FC Aserri playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri for the Costa Rica Segunda – 19 of January

🏟️ Municipal Turrialba X FC Aserri – Costa Rica Segunda
πŸ“… 19 of January, 2025 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Municipal Turrialba – Winning probability: 38.66% | Fair line: 2.59
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.68% | Fair line: 3.49
πŸ”΄ FC Aserri – Winning probability: 32.66% | Fair line: 3.06
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Municipal Turrialba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246743 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri

Should you bet on Municipal Turrialba?

πŸ”΅ Municipal Turrialba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $538.20;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$71.80.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $614.80
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$95.20.

Should you bet on FC Aserri?

πŸ”΄ FC Aserri: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $567.60;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$102.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Municipal Turrialba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Municipal Turrialba and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Municipal Turrialba.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Municipal Turrialba x FC Aserri

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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