Musanze FC x Etincelles Betting tips for November 30 in Rwanda National League

Our betting tip for Musanze FC x Etincelles, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 13:00

Musanze FC 2.00

X 2.75

Etincelles 4.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Musanze FC x Etincelles:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Musanze FC x Etincelles

Some important points for the tip for Musanze FC x Etincelles: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Etincelles in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Musanze FC x Etincelles, with Musanze FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Musanze FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Musanze FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Etincelles playing at home.

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Analysis from Musanze FC x Etincelles for the Rwanda National League – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Musanze FC and Etincelles.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Musanze FC x Etincelles

Is it worth betting on Musanze FC?

🔵 Musanze FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $647.50
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$17.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Etincelles?

🔴 Etincelles: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Musanze FC x Etincelles

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Musanze FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Musanze FC x Etincelles

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Musanze FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Musanze FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Musanze FC x Etincelles

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.