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Home » Predictions » Others » Mutilvera x Alfaro Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 15h30 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Mutilvera Mutilvera
PREDICTION No tip
Alfaro Alfaro
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Mutilvera x Alfaro Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Mutilvera x Alfaro, Saturday, 13/12/2025
📅 13/12/2025
15:30
Mutilvera Mutilvera
2.10
X
3.10
Alfaro Alfaro
3.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mutilvera x Alfaro:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Mutilvera x Alfaro

Some important points for the tip for Mutilvera x Alfaro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mutilvera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alfaro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Mutilvera conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Alfaro conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Mutilvera x Alfaro for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 13 of December

🏟️ Mutilvera X Alfaro – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Mutilvera – Winning probability: 53.07% | Fair line: 1.88
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.79% | Fair line: 3.88
🔴 Alfaro – Winning probability: 21.14% | Fair line: 4.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mutilvera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mutilvera and Alfaro.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mutilvera x Alfaro

Is it worth betting on Mutilvera?

🔵 Mutilvera: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $583.00;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$113.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$194.00.

Is it worth betting on Alfaro?

🔴 Alfaro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $483.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$307.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mutilvera x Alfaro

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mutilvera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mutilvera x Alfaro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Mutilvera, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Mutilvera.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Mutilvera.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mutilvera x Alfaro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves