Nacional x Casa Pia Betting tips for November 25 in Portugal Cup
| 📅 25/11/2023 15:00 |
 Nacional2.30 |
X 3.15 |
Casa Pia  2.86 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nacional x Casa Pia:
🔮 Nacional wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional, you can win up to $1150.00!
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The main points for the tip for Nacional x Casa Pia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $270.0. |
📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Nacional x Casa Pia
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Analysis from Nacional x Casa Pia for the Portugal Cup – 25 of November
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🏟️ Nacional X Casa Pia – Portugal Cup |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nacional and Casa Pia.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nacional x Casa Pia
Is it worth betting on Nacional?
🔵 Nacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $845.00;
- And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$495.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $365.50;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$464.50.
Is it worth betting on Casa Pia?
🔴 Casa Pia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $334.80;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$485.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional x Casa Pia
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional x Casa Pia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Nacional and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Nacional.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Nacional.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional x Casa Pia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
