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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Nacional x Casa Pia Betting tips for November 25 in Portugal Cup
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Portugal Cup
Nacional Nacional
PREDICTION Nacional wins Probability 17% 1 X 2
Casa Pia Casa Pia
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Nacional x Casa Pia Betting tips for November 25 in Portugal Cup

Our betting tip for Nacional x Casa Pia, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Nacional Nacional
2.30
X
3.15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
2.86

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nacional x Casa Pia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nacional wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional, you can win up to $1150.00!

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The main points for the tip for Nacional x Casa Pia:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $270.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-386.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nacional scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Casa Pia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Nacional x Casa Pia

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2023, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Nacional x Casa Pia for the Portugal Cup – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Nacional X Casa Pia – Portugal Cup
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Nacional – Winning probability: 64.73% | Fair line: 1.54
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.33% | Fair line: 5.77
๐Ÿ”ด Casa Pia – Winning probability: 17.93% | Fair line: 5.58
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Nacional
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nacional and Casa Pia.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nacional x Casa Pia

Is it worth betting on Nacional?

๐Ÿ”ต Nacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $845.00;
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$495.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $365.50;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$464.50.

Is it worth betting on Casa Pia?

๐Ÿ”ด Casa Pia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $334.80;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$485.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional x Casa Pia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Nacional
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional x Casa Pia

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Nacional and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Nacional.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Nacional.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional x Casa Pia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves