Nacional De Football x Danubio Betting tips for April 13 in Uruguay Apertura

Our betting tip for Nacional De Football x Danubio, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 20:30

Nacional De Football 1.38

X 4.40

Danubio 6.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nacional De Football x Danubio:

🔮 Nacional De Football wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional De Football, you can win up to $690.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Nacional De Football x Danubio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Danubio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Danubio, Nacional De Football scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Danubio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Nacional De Football conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Danubio conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Nacional De Football x Danubio?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nacional De Football x Danubio:

Analysis from Nacional De Football x Danubio for the Uruguay Apertura – 13 of April

When the best bet on Nacional De Football x Danubio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302894 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nacional De Football x Danubio

Is it worth betting on Nacional De Football?

🔵 Nacional De Football: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $281.20
• And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$21.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $680.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Should you bet on Danubio?

🔴 Danubio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $357.00;
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$583.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional De Football x Danubio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Nacional De Football
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional De Football x Danubio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Nacional De Football and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Nacional De Football.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Danubio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional De Football x Danubio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.