Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado Betting tips for November 16 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado, Saturday, 16/11/2024

📅 16/11/2024 22:30

Nacional De Football 1.20

X 5.75

Deportivo Maldonado 11.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado:

🔮 Nacional De Football wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional De Football, you can win up to $600.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $218.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Maldonado in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Nacional De Football did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 Deportivo Maldonado did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nacional De Football scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Maldonado, Nacional De Football scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Deportivo Maldonado matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado, with Nacional De Football as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Nacional De Football is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado:

Analysis from Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado for the Uruguay Clausura – 16 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221437 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado

Is it a good idea to bet on Nacional De Football?

🔵 Nacional De Football: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 960 times – profiting $192.00;
• And would lose other 40 times – having a loss of -$40.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$152.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $190.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$770.00.

Is betting on Deportivo Maldonado worth it?

🔴 Deportivo Maldonado: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Nacional De Football
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Nacional De Football and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Nacional De Football. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nacional De Football x Deportivo Maldonado

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.