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Home » Predictions » Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr Betting tips for November 30 in Iran Div 1
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 11h30 Iran Div 1
Naft Gachsaran Naft Gachsaran
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr
ODD: @2.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr Betting tips for November 30 in Iran Div 1

Our betting tip for Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
11:30
Naft Gachsaran Naft Gachsaran
2.81
X
2.80
Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1400.00!

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Important information for your tip for Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Naft Gachsaran in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ario Eslamshahr in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Naft Gachsaran scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Naft Gachsaran conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr for the Iran Div 1 – 30 of November

🏟️ Naft Gachsaran X Ario Eslamshahr – Iran Div 1
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 11:30
🔵 Naft Gachsaran – Winning probability: 26.29% | Fair line: 3.8
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.19% | Fair line: 2.55
🔴 Ario Eslamshahr – Winning probability: 34.52% | Fair line: 2.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Naft Gachsaran
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr

Is it a good idea to bet on Naft Gachsaran?

🔵 Naft Gachsaran: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $470.60
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$269.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $702.00;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$92.00.

Should you bet on Ario Eslamshahr?

🔴 Ario Eslamshahr: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$125.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Naft Gachsaran
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Naft Gachsaran, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Naft Gachsaran.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Naft Gachsaran x Ario Eslamshahr

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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