Naftan Novopolotsk x Torpedo Zhodino Betting tips for September 29 in Belarus Premier League

Our betting tip for Naftan Novopolotsk x Torpedo Zhodino, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 08:00

Naftan Novopolotsk 6.70

X 4.36

Torpedo Zhodino 1.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Naftan Novopolotsk x Torpedo Zhodino:

🔮 Torpedo Zhodino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Torpedo Zhodino, you can win up to $685.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Naftan Novopolotsk x Torpedo Zhodino: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Naftan Novopolotsk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Torpedo Zhodino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $88.0. 👉 Playing as the home team, Naftan Novopolotsk conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Torpedo Zhodino. 👉 Even as a visitor, Torpedo Zhodino won the last 5 head-to-head matches Naftan Novopolotsk´s territory

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Analysis from Naftan Novopolotsk x Torpedo Zhodino for the Belarus Premier League – 29 of September

When the best bet on Naftan Novopolotsk x Torpedo Zhodino is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Naftan Novopolotsk x Torpedo Zhodino

Is betting on Naftan Novopolotsk worth it?

🔵 Naftan Novopolotsk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $114.00;
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$866.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $268.80;
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$651.20.

Is it worth betting on Torpedo Zhodino?

🔴 Torpedo Zhodino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $333.00;
• And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$233.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Naftan Novopolotsk x Torpedo Zhodino

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Naftan Novopolotsk
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Naftan Novopolotsk x Torpedo Zhodino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Naftan Novopolotsk and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Naftan Novopolotsk.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Naftan Novopolotsk x Torpedo Zhodino

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.