Naga World FC x Boeung Ket FC Betting tips for December 29 in Cambodia Premier League

Our betting tip for Naga World FC x Boeung Ket FC, Sunday, 29/12/2024

📅 29/12/2024 11:00

Naga World FC 1.53

X 4.33

Boeung Ket FC 4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Naga World FC x Boeung Ket FC:

🔮 Naga World FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Naga World FC, you can win up to $765.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Naga World FC x Boeung Ket FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Naga World FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boeung Ket FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Naga World FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Naga World FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Boeung Ket FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Naga World FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Boeung Ket FC playing at home.

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Analysis from Naga World FC x Boeung Ket FC for the Cambodia Premier League – 29 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Naga World FC and Boeung Ket FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Naga World FC x Boeung Ket FC

Is betting on Naga World FC worth it?

🔵 Naga World FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 610 times – profiting $323.30;
• And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$66.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $499.50;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.50.

Is betting on Boeung Ket FC worth it?

🔴 Boeung Ket FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $800.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$50.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Naga World FC x Boeung Ket FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Naga World FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Naga World FC x Boeung Ket FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Naga World FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Naga World FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Boeung Ket FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Naga World FC x Boeung Ket FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.