Nancy x Rouen Betting tips for November 24 in France National

Our betting tip for Nancy x Rouen, Friday, 24/11/2023

📅 24/11/2023 18:30

Nancy 2.88

X 2.87

Rouen 2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nancy x Rouen:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Nancy x Rouen

Important information for your tip for Nancy x Rouen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nancy in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Rouen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Nancy matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Nancy conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Rouen has not lost any of them.

📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Nancy x Rouen

Looking for another bookie to bet on Nancy x Rouen?

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Analysis from Nancy x Rouen for the France National – 24 of November

When the best bet on Nancy x Rouen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nancy x Rouen

Is it a good idea to bet on Nancy?

🔵 Nancy: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $470.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $673.20
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$33.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rouen?

🔴 Rouen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $585.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nancy x Rouen

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nancy
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nancy x Rouen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Nancy and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Nancy.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Rouen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nancy x Rouen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.