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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Napoli U19 x Benevento U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Campionato Primavera 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Italy Campionato Primavera 2
Napoli U19 Napoli U19
PREDICTION Benevento U19 Wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Benevento U19 Benevento U19
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Napoli U19 x Benevento U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Campionato Primavera 2

Our betting tip for Napoli U19 x Benevento U19, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
13:30
Napoli U19 Napoli U19
1.95
X
3.52
Benevento U19 Benevento U19
3.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Napoli U19 x Benevento U19:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Benevento U19 wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benevento U19, you can win up to $1600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Napoli U19 x Benevento U19:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Napoli U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Napoli U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Benevento U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Benevento U19, Napoli U19 scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Benevento U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Benevento U19 has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Napoli U19 has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Benevento U19.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Napoli U19 x Benevento U19

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Summary

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Analysis from Napoli U19 x Benevento U19 for the Italy Campionato Primavera 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Napoli U19 X Benevento U19 – Italy Campionato Primavera 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต Napoli U19 – Winning probability: 31.25% | Fair line: 3.2
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.13% | Fair line: 4.52
๐Ÿ”ด Benevento U19 – Winning probability: 46.62% | Fair line: 2.14
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Napoli U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Napoli U19 x Benevento U19 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Napoli U19 x Benevento U19

Is it a good idea to bet on Napoli U19?

๐Ÿ”ต Napoli U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $294.50;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$395.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $554.40;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$225.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Benevento U19?

๐Ÿ”ด Benevento U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $1034.00
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$504.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Napoli U19 x Benevento U19

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Napoli U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Napoli U19 x Benevento U19

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Napoli U19 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Napoli U19.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Benevento U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Napoli U19 x Benevento U19

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves