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Home » Predictions » Others » Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance Betting tips for November 27 in Nigeria Premier League
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 15h00 Nigeria Premier League
Nasarawa United Nasarawa United
PREDICTION No tip
Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance
Don't miss this prediction!

Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance Betting tips for November 27 in Nigeria Premier League

Our betting tip for Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
15:00
Nasarawa United Nasarawa United
1.63
X
3.40
Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance
5.02

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance

Important information for your tip for Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nasarawa United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-197.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bendel Insurance in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $213.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bendel Insurance conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance:

Analysis from Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance for the Nigeria Premier League – 27 of November

🏟️ Nasarawa United X Bendel Insurance – Nigeria Premier League
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Nasarawa United – Winning probability: 64.17% | Fair line: 1.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.57% | Fair line: 3.76
🔴 Bendel Insurance – Winning probability: 9.26% | Fair line: 10.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nasarawa United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance

Should you bet on Nasarawa United?

🔵 Nasarawa United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – profiting $403.20;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$43.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $648.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Is betting on Bendel Insurance worth it?

🔴 Bendel Insurance: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $361.80;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$548.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nasarawa United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Nasarawa United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Nasarawa United.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Bendel Insurance.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nasarawa United x Bendel Insurance

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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