Al Ahly Cairo x National Bank Betting tips for December 1 in Egypt Division 1
| 📅 1/12/2024 15:00 |
 Al Ahly Cairo5.25 |
X 3.80 |
National Bank  1.53 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Ahly Cairo x National Bank:
🔮 National Bank wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on National Bank, you can win up to $765.00!
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Important information for your tip for Al Ahly Cairo x National Bank: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Ahly Cairo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-29.0. |
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Analysis from Al Ahly Cairo x National Bank for the Egypt Division 1 – 1 of December
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🏟️ Al Ahly Cairo X National Bank – Egypt Division 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Ahly Cairo x National Bank right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Ahly Cairo x National Bank
Should you bet on Al Ahly Cairo?
🔵 Al Ahly Cairo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $1572.50;
- And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$942.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $728.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$12.00.
Is betting on National Bank worth it?
🔴 National Bank: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $190.80;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$449.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Ahly Cairo x National Bank
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Al Ahly Cairo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Ahly Cairo x National Bank
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Al Ahly Cairo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Al Ahly Cairo.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Al Ahly Cairo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Ahly Cairo x National Bank
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
