Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
| 📅 14/12/2025 10:30 |
 Navalcarnero1.48 |
X 3.70 |
CD Colonia Moscardo  5.95 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo:
🔮 Navalcarnero wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Navalcarnero, you can win up to $740.00!
The main points for the tip for Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Navalcarnero in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $415.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Colonia Moscardo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Navalcarnero scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Navalcarnero matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 CD Colonia Moscardo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Navalcarnero conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, CD Colonia Moscardo conceded at least 3 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for CD Colonia Moscardo as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 14 of December
🏟️ Navalcarnero X CD Colonia Moscardo – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 10:30
🔵 Navalcarnero – Winning probability: 80.92% | Fair line: 1.24
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.30% | Fair line: 6.99
🔴 CD Colonia Moscardo – Winning probability: 4.77% | Fair line: 20.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Navalcarnero
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo
Is betting on Navalcarnero worth it?
🔵 Navalcarnero: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $388.80;
- And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$198.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $378.00;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$482.00.
Is it worth betting on CD Colonia Moscardo?
🔴 CD Colonia Moscardo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $247.50
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$702.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Navalcarnero
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Navalcarnero, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Navalcarnero.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Navalcarnero x CD Colonia Moscardo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
