Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala Betting tips for December 7 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala, Sunday, 7/12/2025

📅 7/12/2025 10:30

Navalcarnero 1.91

X 3.00

RSD Alcala 3.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala

Important information for your tip for Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Navalcarnero in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on RSD Alcala in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Navalcarnero scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, RSD Alcala scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala, with Navalcarnero as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 7 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Navalcarnero and RSD Alcala.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1449543 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala

Is it worth betting on Navalcarnero?

🔵 Navalcarnero: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
• And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$45.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $640.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$40.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on RSD Alcala?

🔴 RSD Alcala: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $522.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Navalcarnero
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Navalcarnero and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Navalcarnero.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 RSD Alcala.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Navalcarnero x RSD Alcala

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.