Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol Betting tips for April 12 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 16:00

Nea Salamis Famagusta 2.40

X 3.25

AEL Limassol 2.65

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol

Some important points for the tip for Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nea Salamis Famagusta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AEL Limassol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AEL Limassol scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol, with Nea Salamis Famagusta as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 AEL Limassol matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Nea Salamis Famagusta conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against AEL Limassol.

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Analysis from Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol for the Cyprus Division 1 – 12 of April

When the best bet on Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol

Is betting on Nea Salamis Famagusta worth it?

🔵 Nea Salamis Famagusta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – profiting $546.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Is betting on AEL Limassol worth it?

🔴 AEL Limassol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $544.50;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$125.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nea Salamis Famagusta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Nea Salamis Famagusta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Nea Salamis Famagusta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 AEL Limassol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nea Salamis Famagusta x AEL Limassol

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.