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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Needham Market x Bromsgrove Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League Central
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Southern Premier League Central
Needham Market Needham Market
PREDICTION Needham Market wins Probability 12% 1 X 2
Bromsgrove Bromsgrove
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Needham Market x Bromsgrove Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League Central

Our betting tip for Needham Market x Bromsgrove, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Needham Market Needham Market
1.60
X
3.75
Bromsgrove Bromsgrove
4.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Needham Market x Bromsgrove:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Needham Market wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Needham Market, you can win up to $800.00!

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The main points for the tip for Needham Market x Bromsgrove:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Needham Market in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-184.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bromsgrove in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bromsgrove conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Bromsgrove as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Needham Market x Bromsgrove

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Summary

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Analysis from Needham Market x Bromsgrove for the England Southern Premier League Central – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Needham Market X Bromsgrove – England Southern Premier League Central
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Needham Market – Winning probability: 68.99% | Fair line: 1.45
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.77% | Fair line: 5.33
๐Ÿ”ด Bromsgrove – Winning probability: 12.24% | Fair line: 8.17
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Needham Market
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Needham Market and Bromsgrove.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Needham Market x Bromsgrove

Is it a good idea to bet on Needham Market?

๐Ÿ”ต Needham Market: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$104.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $522.50;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$287.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bromsgrove?

๐Ÿ”ด Bromsgrove: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$460.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Needham Market x Bromsgrove

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Needham Market
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Needham Market x Bromsgrove

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Needham Market, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Needham Market.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Needham Market x Bromsgrove

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves