Neftchi Baku x FK Qarabag Betting tips for December 1 in Azerbaijan Premier League
| 📅 1/12/2024 15:00 |
 Neftchi Baku6.30 |
X 4.20 |
FK Qarabag  1.39 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Neftchi Baku x FK Qarabag:
🔮 FK Qarabag wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Qarabag, you can win up to $695.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Neftchi Baku x FK Qarabag: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Neftchi Baku in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-88.0. |
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Analysis from Neftchi Baku x FK Qarabag for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 1 of December
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🏟️ Neftchi Baku X FK Qarabag – Azerbaijan Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Neftchi Baku and FK Qarabag.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Neftchi Baku x FK Qarabag
Should you bet on Neftchi Baku?
🔵 Neftchi Baku: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $212.00;
- And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$748.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $384.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.
Is betting on FK Qarabag worth it?
🔴 FK Qarabag: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 850 times – this would give you a profit of $331.50
- And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$181.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Neftchi Baku x FK Qarabag
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Neftchi Baku
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Neftchi Baku x FK Qarabag
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Neftchi Baku and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Neftchi Baku.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Neftchi Baku x FK Qarabag
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
