Netherlands x France Betting tips for June 21 in Euro 2024

Our betting tip for Netherlands x France, Friday, 21/6/2024

📅 21/6/2024 19:00

Netherlands 4.35

X 3.60

France 1.76

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Netherlands x France:

🔮 Netherlands wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Netherlands, you can win up to $2175.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Netherlands x France: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Netherlands in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $31.0. 👉 Netherlands did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Netherlands scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, France scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Netherlands matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Netherlands is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, France has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Netherlands x France for the Euro 2024 – 21 of June

When the best bet on Netherlands x France is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1136451 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Netherlands x France

Is it a good idea to bet on Netherlands?

🔵 Netherlands: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $1474.00
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$914.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $338.00;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$532.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on France?

🔴 France: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $326.80;
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$243.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Netherlands x France

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Netherlands
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Netherlands x France

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Netherlands, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Netherlands.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Netherlands.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Netherlands x France

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.