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Home » Predictions » Others » New England Revolution x Alajuelense Betting tips for March 6 in CONCACAF Champions Cup
Wednesday, 06 March 2024, 23h00 CONCACAF Champions Cup
New England Revolution New England Revolution
PREDICTION New England Revolution wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Alajuelense Alajuelense
ODD: @1.63 Don't miss this prediction!

New England Revolution x Alajuelense Betting tips for March 6 in CONCACAF Champions Cup

Our betting tip for New England Revolution x Alajuelense, Wednesday, 6/3/2024
📅 6/3/2024
23:00
New England Revolution New England Revolution
1.63
X
3.80
Alajuelense Alajuelense
4.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for New England Revolution x Alajuelense:

🔮 New England Revolution wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on New England Revolution, you can win up to $815.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for New England Revolution x Alajuelense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on New England Revolution in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-382.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-97.0.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Alajuelense has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on New England Revolution x Alajuelense?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from New England Revolution x Alajuelense for the CONCACAF Champions Cup – 6 of March

🏟️ New England Revolution X Alajuelense – CONCACAF Champions Cup
📅 6 of March, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 New England Revolution – Winning probability: 79.28% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.85% | Fair line: 10.15
🔴 Alajuelense – Winning probability: 10.87% | Fair line: 9.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 New England Revolution
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between New England Revolution and Alajuelense.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1071592 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for New England Revolution x Alajuelense

Is betting on New England Revolution worth it?

🔵 New England Revolution: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – profiting $497.70;
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$287.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $280.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$620.00.

Should you bet on Alajuelense?

🔴 Alajuelense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $385.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$505.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match New England Revolution x Alajuelense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 New England Revolution
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New England Revolution x Alajuelense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 New England Revolution, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 New England Revolution.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 New England Revolution.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New England Revolution x Alajuelense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves