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Home Β» Predictions Β» New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC Betting tips for November 10 in USA USL Championship
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 02h30 USA USL Championship
New Mexico United New Mexico United
PREDICTION No tip
Las Vegas Lights FC Las Vegas Lights FC
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New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC Betting tips for November 10 in USA USL Championship

Our betting tip for New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC, Sunday, 10/11/2024
πŸ“… 10/11/2024
02:30
New Mexico United New Mexico United
1.73
X
3.62
Las Vegas Lights FC Las Vegas Lights FC
3.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC

Important information for your tip for New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on New Mexico United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Las Vegas Lights FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $385.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, New Mexico United scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Las Vegas Lights FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Las Vegas Lights FC, New Mexico United scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 New Mexico United matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Las Vegas Lights FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, New Mexico United conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC for the USA USL Championship – 10 of November

🏟️ New Mexico United X Las Vegas Lights FC – USA USL Championship
πŸ“… 10 of November, 2024 – 02:30
πŸ”΅ New Mexico United – Winning probability: 47.42% | Fair line: 2.11
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.18% | Fair line: 3.55
πŸ”΄ Las Vegas Lights FC – Winning probability: 24.40% | Fair line: 4.1
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 New Mexico United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between New Mexico United and Las Vegas Lights FC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218004 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC

Should you bet on New Mexico United?

πŸ”΅ New Mexico United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $343.10;
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$186.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $733.60;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$13.60.

Should you bet on Las Vegas Lights FC?

πŸ”΄ Las Vegas Lights FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$112.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 New Mexico United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 New Mexico United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 New Mexico United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Las Vegas Lights FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New Mexico United x Las Vegas Lights FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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