New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic Betting tips for September 18 in USA USL Championship

Our betting tip for New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic, Wednesday, 18/9/2024

📅 18/9/2024 22:00

New Mexico United 2.10

X 3.21

Sacramento Republic 3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic

Important information for your tip for New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic: 👉 If you had bet $100 on New Mexico United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sacramento Republic in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-15.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, New Mexico United scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sacramento Republic scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic, with New Mexico United as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic for the USA USL Championship – 18 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184048 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic

Should you bet on New Mexico United?

🔵 New Mexico United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $407.00;
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$223.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $795.60;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$155.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Sacramento Republic?

🔴 Sacramento Republic: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 New Mexico United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 New Mexico United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 New Mexico United.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 New Mexico United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New Mexico United x Sacramento Republic

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.