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Home » Predictions » Others » New York City FC x Queretaro Betting tips for July 28 in Leagues Cup
Sunday, 28 July 2024, 21h00 Leagues Cup
New York City FC New York City FC
PREDICTION New York City FC wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Queretaro Queretaro
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

New York City FC x Queretaro Betting tips for July 28 in Leagues Cup

Our betting tip for New York City FC x Queretaro, Sunday, 28/7/2024
📅 28/7/2024
21:00
New York City FC New York City FC
1.55
X
4.10
Queretaro Queretaro
4.56

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for New York City FC x Queretaro:

🔮 New York City FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on New York City FC, you can win up to $775.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for New York City FC x Queretaro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on New York City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Queretaro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, New York City FC scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Queretaro scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Queretaro conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on New York City FC x Queretaro?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on New York City FC x Queretaro, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from New York City FC x Queretaro for the Leagues Cup – 28 of July

🏟️ New York City FC X Queretaro – Leagues Cup
📅 28 of July, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 New York City FC – Winning probability: 84.42% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.21% | Fair line: 16.11
🔴 Queretaro – Winning probability: 9.38% | Fair line: 10.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on New York City FC x Queretaro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1151963 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for New York City FC x Queretaro

Is it worth betting on New York City FC?

🔵 New York City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$302.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $186.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$754.00.

Is betting on Queretaro worth it?

🔴 Queretaro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $320.40;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$589.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match New York City FC x Queretaro

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New York City FC x Queretaro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 New York City FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 New York City FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Queretaro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New York City FC x Queretaro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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