Newcastle x Chelsea Betting tips for October 30 in England EFL Cup

Our betting tip for Newcastle x Chelsea, Wednesday, 30/10/2024

📅 30/10/2024 19:45

Newcastle 2.45

X 3.42

Chelsea 2.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newcastle x Chelsea:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
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Some important points for the tip for Newcastle x Chelsea: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-7.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Chelsea, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Newcastle matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Chelsea matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Newcastle has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Chelsea playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Newcastle x Chelsea?

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Analysis from Newcastle x Chelsea for the England EFL Cup – 30 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newcastle and Chelsea.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Newcastle x Chelsea

Should you bet on Newcastle?

🔵 Newcastle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $522.00
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$118.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $435.60
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$384.40.

Is betting on Chelsea worth it?

🔴 Chelsea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – profiting $765.00;
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$215.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Chelsea

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Chelsea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Newcastle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Newcastle. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Chelsea

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.