Newcastle x Fulham Betting tips for December 17 in England EFL Cup
| 📅 17/12/2025 20:15 |
 Newcastle1.64 |
X 3.90 |
Fulham  5.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newcastle x Fulham:
🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $820.00!
Some important points for the tip for Newcastle x Fulham:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $289.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Newcastle scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fulham, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Newcastle matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Newcastle x Fulham, with Newcastle as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
Looking for another bookie to bet on Newcastle x Fulham?
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Analysis from Newcastle x Fulham for the England EFL Cup – 17 of December
🏟️ Newcastle X Fulham – England EFL Cup
📅 17 of December, 2025 – 20:15
🔵 Newcastle – Winning probability: 74.91% | Fair line: 1.33
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.86% | Fair line: 9.2
🔴 Fulham – Winning probability: 14.22% | Fair line: 7.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Newcastle x Fulham is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Newcastle x Fulham
Is betting on Newcastle worth it?
🔵 Newcastle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$230.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $319.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$571.00.
Should you bet on Fulham?
🔴 Fulham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Fulham
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Fulham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Newcastle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Newcastle.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Fulham.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Fulham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
