Newcastle Jets (W) x Melbourne Victory (W) Betting tips for December 19 in Australia A-League Women
| 📅 19/12/2025 08:00 |
 Newcastle Jets (W)4.40 |
X 4.00 |
Melbourne Victory (W)  1.55 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Newcastle Jets (W) x Melbourne Victory (W):
🔮 Melbourne Victory (W) wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Melbourne Victory (W), you can win up to $775.00!
The main points for the tip for Newcastle Jets (W) x Melbourne Victory (W):
👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle Jets (W) in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $370.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Victory (W) in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $52.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Newcastle Jets (W) scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Melbourne Victory (W) conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Newcastle Jets (W) conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Melbourne Victory (W).
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Newcastle Jets (W) x Melbourne Victory (W)?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Newcastle Jets (W) x Melbourne Victory (W), no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Newcastle Jets (W) x Melbourne Victory (W) for the Australia A-League Women – 19 of December
🏟️ Newcastle Jets (W) X Melbourne Victory (W) – Australia A-League Women
📅 19 of December, 2025 – 08:00
🔵 Newcastle Jets (W) – Winning probability: 8.98% | Fair line: 11.13
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.89% | Fair line: 6.3
🔴 Melbourne Victory (W) – Winning probability: 75.13% | Fair line: 1.33
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Newcastle Jets (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newcastle Jets (W) and Melbourne Victory (W).
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle Jets (W) x Melbourne Victory (W)
Is it a good idea to bet on Newcastle Jets (W)?
🔵 Newcastle Jets (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $306.00
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$604.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$360.00.
Should you bet on Melbourne Victory (W)?
🔴 Melbourne Victory (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $412.50
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$162.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle Jets (W) x Melbourne Victory (W)
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Newcastle Jets (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle Jets (W) x Melbourne Victory (W)
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Newcastle Jets (W), and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Newcastle Jets (W).
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle Jets (W) x Melbourne Victory (W)
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
