Newells x Boca Juniors Betting tips for March 30 in Argentina Liga Profesional
| 📅 30/3/2025 22:30 |
 Newells3.10 |
X 3.00 |
Boca Juniors  2.38 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newells x Boca Juniors:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Newells x Boca Juniors: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newells in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0. |
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Analysis from Newells x Boca Juniors for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 30 of March
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🏟️ Newells X Boca Juniors – Argentina Liga Profesional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Newells x Boca Juniors right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1291828 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Newells x Boca Juniors
Should you bet on Newells?
🔵 Newells: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $420.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$380.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$10.00.
Is betting on Boca Juniors worth it?
🔴 Boca Juniors: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $648.60;
- And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$118.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newells x Boca Juniors
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Newells
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newells x Boca Juniors
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Newells and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Newells.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newells x Boca Juniors
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
