Newells x CA Independiente Betting tips for November 26 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Newells x CA Independiente, Tuesday, 26/11/2024

📅 26/11/2024 22:00

Newells 2.58

X 2.87

CA Independiente 2.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Newells x CA Independiente:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Newells x CA Independiente

The main points for the tip for Newells x CA Independiente: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newells in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Independiente in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Newells scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against CA Independiente, Newells scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 CA Independiente matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Newells conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Newells x CA Independiente for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 26 of November

When the best bet on Newells x CA Independiente is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226828 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Newells x CA Independiente

Should you bet on Newells?

🔵 Newells: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $442.40;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$277.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $691.90;
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$61.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on CA Independiente?

🔴 CA Independiente: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $665.00;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$15.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Newells x CA Independiente

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Newells
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newells x CA Independiente

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Newells and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Newells.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newells x CA Independiente

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.