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Home » Predictions » Others » Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves Betting tips for November 27 in Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 21h00 Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
Newells Reserves Newells Reserves
PREDICTION Newells Reserves wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
CA Independiente Reserves CA Independiente Reserves
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves Betting tips for November 27 in Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves

Our betting tip for Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
21:00
Newells Reserves Newells Reserves
1.90
X
3.10
CA Independiente Reserves CA Independiente Reserves
3.78

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves:

🔮 Newells Reserves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newells Reserves, you can win up to $950.00!

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Important information for your tip for Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Newells Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $194.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Independiente Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.

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Summary

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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves:

Analysis from Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves for the Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves – 27 of November

🏟️ Newells Reserves X CA Independiente Reserves – Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Newells Reserves – Winning probability: 54.88% | Fair line: 1.82
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.10% | Fair line: 3.69
🔴 CA Independiente Reserves – Winning probability: 18.02% | Fair line: 5.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Newells Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newells Reserves and CA Independiente Reserves.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228982 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves

Is it worth betting on Newells Reserves?

🔵 Newells Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$45.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $567.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Should you bet on CA Independiente Reserves?

🔴 CA Independiente Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $500.40;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$319.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Newells Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Newells Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Newells Reserves.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CA Independiente Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newells Reserves x CA Independiente Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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