Newport County x AFC Wimbledon Betting tips for January 2 in England League 2
📅 2/1/2025 19:45 |
Newport County 4.65 |
X 3.90 |
AFC Wimbledon 1.67 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newport County x AFC Wimbledon:
🔮 AFC Wimbledon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AFC Wimbledon, you can win up to $835.00!
Important information for your tip for Newport County x AFC Wimbledon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Wimbledon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $162.0. |
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Analysis from Newport County x AFC Wimbledon for the England League 2 – 2 of January
🏟️ Newport County X AFC Wimbledon – England League 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Newport County x AFC Wimbledon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1241466 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Newport County x AFC Wimbledon
Is it a good idea to bet on Newport County?
🔵 Newport County: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $547.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$302.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$142.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on AFC Wimbledon?
🔴 AFC Wimbledon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 620 times – profiting $415.40;
- And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$35.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newport County x AFC Wimbledon
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Newport County
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newport County x AFC Wimbledon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Newport County, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Newport County.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Newport County.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newport County x AFC Wimbledon
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.