Newroz SC x Duhok Betting tips for December 29 in Iraq League
| 📅 29/12/2024 11:00 |
 Newroz SC3.90 |
X 3.00 |
Duhok  1.93 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Newroz SC x Duhok:
🔮 Duhok wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Duhok, you can win up to $965.00!
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Important information for your tip for Newroz SC x Duhok: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newroz SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0. |
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Analysis from Newroz SC x Duhok for the Iraq League – 29 of December
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🏟️ Newroz SC X Duhok – Iraq League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newroz SC and Duhok.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240337 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Newroz SC x Duhok
Is it worth betting on Newroz SC?
🔵 Newroz SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $493.00;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$337.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.
Is betting on Duhok worth it?
🔴 Duhok: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $511.50
- And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$61.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newroz SC x Duhok
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Newroz SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newroz SC x Duhok
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Newroz SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Newroz SC.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newroz SC x Duhok
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
