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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd Betting tips for April 1 in Northern Ireland Championship
Tuesday, 01 April 2025, 18h45 Northern Ireland Championship
Newry City Newry City
PREDICTION No tip
Ballinamallard Utd Ballinamallard Utd
Don't miss this prediction!

Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd Betting tips for April 1 in Northern Ireland Championship

Our betting tip for Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd, Tuesday, 1/4/2025
πŸ“… 1/4/2025
18:45
Newry City Newry City
2.62
X
3.60
Ballinamallard Utd Ballinamallard Utd
2.23

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd

The main points for the tip for Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd:

πŸ‘‰ Ballinamallard Utd did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Ballinamallard Utd, Newry City scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Newry City matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Ballinamallard Utd conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Newry City has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Ballinamallard Utd.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Ballinamallard Utd as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd:

Analysis from Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd for the Northern Ireland Championship – 1 of April

🏟️ Newry City X Ballinamallard Utd – Northern Ireland Championship
πŸ“… 1 of April, 2025 – 18:45
πŸ”΅ Newry City – Winning probability: 34.45% | Fair line: 2.9
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.88% | Fair line: 3.86
πŸ”΄ Ballinamallard Utd – Winning probability: 39.66% | Fair line: 2.52
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: 0.0 Newry City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1293364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd

Is it worth betting on Newry City?

πŸ”΅ Newry City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $550.80
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$109.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $676.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

Should you bet on Ballinamallard Utd?

πŸ”΄ Ballinamallard Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $492.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$108.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: 0.0 Newry City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Newry City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Newry City.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: +0.25 Newry City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newry City x Ballinamallard Utd

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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