Newtown x Connahs Quay Betting tips for November 30 in Wales Premier League
| 📅 30/11/2024 14:30 |
 Newtown2.90 |
X 3.40 |
Connahs Quay  2.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newtown x Connahs Quay:
🔮 Connahs Quay wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Connahs Quay, you can win up to $1050.00!
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The main points for the tip for Newtown x Connahs Quay: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newtown in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-240.0. |
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Analysis from Newtown x Connahs Quay for the Wales Premier League – 30 of November
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🏟️ Newtown X Connahs Quay – Wales Premier League |
When the best bet on Newtown x Connahs Quay is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Newtown x Connahs Quay
Is it a good idea to bet on Newtown?
🔵 Newtown: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $418.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$362.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$150.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Connahs Quay?
🔴 Connahs Quay: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $583.00
- And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$113.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newtown x Connahs Quay
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Newtown
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newtown x Connahs Quay
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Newtown, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Newtown.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newtown x Connahs Quay
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
