Nigeria x Tunisia Betting tips for December 27 in Africa Cup of Nations
| 📅 27/12/2025 20:00 |
 Nigeria2.35 |
X 3.00 |
Tunisia  3.08 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nigeria x Tunisia:
🔮 Nigeria wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nigeria, you can win up to $1175.00!
Some important points for the tip for Nigeria x Tunisia:
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Nigeria scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tunisia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Tunisia has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from Nigeria x Tunisia for the Africa Cup of Nations – 27 of December
🏟️ Nigeria X Tunisia – Africa Cup of Nations
📅 27 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Nigeria – Winning probability: 50.55% | Fair line: 1.98
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.35% | Fair line: 5.76
🔴 Tunisia – Winning probability: 32.10% | Fair line: 3.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nigeria
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nigeria x Tunisia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455935 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nigeria x Tunisia
Is it worth betting on Nigeria?
🔵 Nigeria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $688.50
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$198.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$490.00.
Should you bet on Tunisia?
🔴 Tunisia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – profiting $665.60;
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$14.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nigeria x Tunisia
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nigeria
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nigeria x Tunisia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Nigeria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Nigeria.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Tunisia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nigeria x Tunisia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
