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Home » Predictions » Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi Betting tips for November 30 in Iran Div 1
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 11h15 Iran Div 1
Niroye Zamini Niroye Zamini
PREDICTION No tip
Fajr Shahid Sepasi Fajr Shahid Sepasi
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Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi Betting tips for November 30 in Iran Div 1

Our betting tip for Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
11:15
Niroye Zamini Niroye Zamini
3.50
X
2.88
Fajr Shahid Sepasi Fajr Shahid Sepasi
2.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi

Some important points for the tip for Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Niroye Zamini in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 In the last 5 Niroye Zamini matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Fajr Shahid Sepasi matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi for the Iran Div 1 – 30 of November

🏟️ Niroye Zamini X Fajr Shahid Sepasi – Iran Div 1
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 11:15
🔵 Niroye Zamini – Winning probability: 21.23% | Fair line: 4.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.89% | Fair line: 3.04
🔴 Fajr Shahid Sepasi – Winning probability: 45.88% | Fair line: 2.18
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Niroye Zamini
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Niroye Zamini and Fajr Shahid Sepasi.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi

Should you bet on Niroye Zamini?

🔵 Niroye Zamini: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $620.40;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$49.60.

Is betting on Fajr Shahid Sepasi worth it?

🔴 Fajr Shahid Sepasi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$34.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Niroye Zamini
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Niroye Zamini, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Niroye Zamini.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Niroye Zamini.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Niroye Zamini x Fajr Shahid Sepasi

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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