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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» NK Bravo x NK Radomlje Betting tips for November 22 in Slovenia Prva Liga
Friday, 22 November 2024, 16h30 Slovenia Prva Liga
NK Bravo NK Bravo
PREDICTION No tip
NK Radomlje NK Radomlje
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NK Bravo x NK Radomlje Betting tips for November 22 in Slovenia Prva Liga

Our betting tip for NK Bravo x NK Radomlje, Friday, 22/11/2024
πŸ“… 22/11/2024
16:30
NK Bravo NK Bravo
1.91
X
3.30
NK Radomlje NK Radomlje
3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for NK Bravo x NK Radomlje:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for NK Bravo x NK Radomlje

The main points for the tip for NK Bravo x NK Radomlje:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Bravo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $105.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Radomlje in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between NK Bravo x NK Radomlje, with NK Bravo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, NK Bravo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from NK Bravo x NK Radomlje for the Slovenia Prva Liga – 22 of November

🏟️ NK Bravo X NK Radomlje – Slovenia Prva Liga
πŸ“… 22 of November, 2024 – 16:30
πŸ”΅ NK Bravo – Winning probability: 53.45% | Fair line: 1.87
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.33% | Fair line: 3.53
πŸ”΄ NK Radomlje – Winning probability: 18.23% | Fair line: 5.49
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 NK Bravo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NK Bravo x NK Radomlje right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225593 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Bravo x NK Radomlje

Is betting on NK Bravo worth it?

πŸ”΅ NK Bravo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $482.30
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$12.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $644.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Is it worth betting on NK Radomlje?

πŸ”΄ NK Radomlje: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $468.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$352.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Bravo x NK Radomlje

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 NK Bravo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Bravo x NK Radomlje

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 NK Bravo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 NK Bravo.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Bravo x NK Radomlje

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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