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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac Betting tips for November 24 in Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
NK Celik Zenica NK Celik Zenica
PREDICTION No tip
NK Zvijezda Gradacac NK Zvijezda Gradacac
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NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac Betting tips for November 24 in Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

Our betting tip for NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
17:00
NK Celik Zenica NK Celik Zenica
1.75
X
3.46
NK Zvijezda Gradacac NK Zvijezda Gradacac
4.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac

The main points for the tip for NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Celik Zenica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac

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Summary

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Analysis from NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac for the Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League – 24 of November

🏟️ NK Celik Zenica X NK Zvijezda Gradacac – Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 17:00
πŸ”΅ NK Celik Zenica – Winning probability: 55.98% | Fair line: 1.79
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.17% | Fair line: 3.68
πŸ”΄ NK Zvijezda Gradacac – Winning probability: 16.85% | Fair line: 5.94
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 NK Celik Zenica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac

Is it worth betting on NK Celik Zenica?

πŸ”΅ NK Celik Zenica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$20.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $664.20;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$65.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on NK Zvijezda Gradacac?

πŸ”΄ NK Zvijezda Gradacac: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $518.50;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$311.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 NK Celik Zenica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 NK Celik Zenica and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 NK Celik Zenica.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Celik Zenica x NK Zvijezda Gradacac

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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